September 4, 2009
If you haven't heard of PECOTA or the postseason odds presented by Baseball Prospectus, they are worth a daily look, especially around this time of year. For a little more tongue-in-cheek view of postseason possibilities, here are TCO's odds of making the postseason:
Selig won't allow the playoffs to occur if NY somehow blows a 7.5 game lead this late
Red Sox (98%)
If Boston doesn't make it by record, Epstein will simply buy an extra win or two to get in
The Price is wrong this year. Good ain't enough in the East.
No other Central team is capable of winning more than two straight games.
The sooner Minnesota gives up, the sooner the Metrodome can shut down forever!
White Sox (-1%)
The defense isn't fit to air on national TV, so they are already disqualified.
Drama-free and boring, Scioscia signed a deal with the devil that allows him 3 more division titles regardless of the roster-full of injuries.
Their undoing was thinking they had enough pitching to get rid of Padilla.
Only on this list because if the Twins and White Sox are here, the Mariners at least deserve a mention.
Rumor has it that Philly is trying to acquire Lincecum and Pujols so that they will have anyone who could possible win a regular season award on their roster.
After two decades of overemphasis on pitching and ignoring offense, Atlanta is trying to repeat the formula of losing in the first round.
Until Florida reaches its attendance quota, the team still won't be playoff eligible.
Fate will try to bring St. Louis down as punishment for making us watch that mediocre team win in '06.
Because of the disdain between fans and players (Soriano, Bradley, Zambrano, etc.), THIS will be the team that surprises all and ends up in the World Series.
Not even if Sabathia came back and pitched every game.
Poised to be the '09 version of the '08 Cubs. Great season, early exit?
The same percentage as Helton's salary to the team's payroll. Almost.
This increases to 80% if Bonds comes back today.